Although some forms of respect to endeavor to maintain the terminology of pre-season, no one doubt that the starting gun for the battle of May 22 a few weeks ago he and what we are witnessing, apart from some minimal protocol that collects current electoral rules for the fifteen days prior to the appointment with the polls, responding faithfully to the characteristics of a real campaign.
It's not exactly new, but long ago that the party machinery was not so oiled as on this occasion, the result, undoubtedly, the change of scenario in which the Principality is facing elections municipal and regional next month. The political forces that are supposed that will determine the institutional future of this community are the main protagonists of this sprint record, an attitude that has forced even the minority and head out and begin to participate in debates with (¿...?) advance.
In this particular context it is quite possible that the Popular Party appears as the first class, and it is shown the overwhelming deployment of officers in recent months have gone by Asturias in the task required to support your candidate the Presidency of the Principality, Isabel Pérez Espinosa. In this same gallery had said on occasion, but that initial flurry has not been interrupted, to the extent that it is almost certainly not in the history of this territory autonomous-Cascos and calls it country-one short period with such intense face of the dome of the team headed Mariano Rajoy, or even in times of his predecessor, José María Aznar. It is also true that the Socialists have realized that much or more need any outside help and try not to lag behind its rivals in recent weeks. The
what to popular concerns, the 'mareona figures' has given rise to many different statements that it is often inevitable reference to this factor that distinguishes it from other communities which is the presence of Francisco Alvarez- Helmets and his party, Forum Asturias. And in this context has been everything from clear and direct attacks to any call to the common core that initially the two political forces depart, through the most absolute indifference, a position on this policy can be as valid as anyone.
The latest statements, at least that I know, of the heads of the PP regarding helmets and his new party under the Secretary of Party Organization, Ana Mato, of course, a major supporter of his candidacy for election poster Spaniard while still among the popular militant, "who showed his absolute conviction that his former teammate vote Espinosa to govern "if the PP won the elections." We must understand, obviously, that the veteran leader of the right is a victory for his party without an absolute majority.
Mato and his reasoning is straightforward in theory, perfect. What happens is that the person who did the interview in which he explained earlier demonstrations went very thin when it comes to cross-examine an issue which is obvious even to a primary school student. The subsequent inquisitorial, I believe, would be to ask opinion on whether his theory is reversible, that is, does support and PP Espinosa Asturian FAC to govern in the Principality if the winner of the elections, we are talking again, naturally majorities on-?
is a pity that at this point and the above mentioned rate of the Asturian pre-campaign surveys we lack a minimum of reliability. The few that are so far are contradictory and do not meet the minimum requirements to establish a trend, because that is when it comes to polls. All we know is often wrong, but not so if several that have any credibility and are consistent in their orientation. There are already more than you know at the moment, but that seems to have paid for the time prefer to keep them for them. There must be some.
demoscopic Even with this handicap, first impressions, and I insist that they are just that, prints, for lack of a sustainable mathematical basis-point to the right could have, adding their votes, an absolute majority in the General Meeting. Are aware that even his main rivals, the Socialists, who loses the opportunity to demonize and FAC PP, "because they will end up agreeing," as if it were an unnatural act. How do they differentiate the agreement that has allowed them to form stable majorities with the United Left in the past eight years?
This, in my view, it seems clear is that IU is likely to maintain its current weight-more the result of the demerits of the PSOE that the successes of its own-and that the three legs that support the political agenda-PSOE, PP and FAC-go to share the cake with differences not as significant as some claim. This personal exploration follows that the two parties of the right could have the absolute majority mentioned before.
If the recent history of right Asturian not have the personal components of all known, antagonisms and confrontations with death, the solution of the equation is pretty easy. But these spoilers are complicated and will be maintained whatever the outcome.
why it is relevant that someone with the responsibilities of Ana Mato has already launched electoral arena one of the most significant to the days following May 22. If the numbers require the pact, is in the hands of the leaders of Genoa, the work of convincing helmets to stop the PP-rule if the most votes in the two-but also have an obligation to do so if FAC gets more votes than his party in Asturias.
Ultimately, it will be important to clarify what we mean when we talk about covenants. The requirement for helmets to let them rule would almost certainly by the withdrawal of former minister, no one sees or in the bed of the opposition or number two novels. Moreover, a hypothetical victory FAC imposed on the national leadership of the PP Helmets provide the Presidency of the community, and in this case the story would go through a withdrawal, Gabino de Lorenzo, who also "sexagenarian" could 'retire' and move on to dedicate her time possessions in Benia available. Oviedo Mayor puts name the problem from the side of the PP. I am sure that the nominee of this party would not be an insurmountable obstacle, and Ovid, Goñi, Aréstegui ... not shown as the hand that can break the deck. There is, yes, on this side of the quadrilateral a thorny problem: what to do with Pilar Fernández Pardo?, Then do not think anyone can imagine the two truly irreconcilable enemies share 'picnic'. Pilipardo Could be confined to its territory of Gijón, even as mayor? It seems difficult, but in politics nothing is impossible. Could you go out with discretion by the back door and stick to their national representative certificate comfortable? This would be more feasible, but does not appear that falls within the program or it would no facility for it.
Finally, Ms. Matos, who to talk of pacts must know what is spoken agreements and consider that what elsewhere would be natural and obvious, in Asturias has some difficulties, and major, added. Any type of agreement for the right to rule in the Principality will be required to leave corpses on the road, and it should bear this in mind when preparing the ground. Meanwhile, both sides, right and left continue to do their accounts or haggling, always unsatisfactory to all, while the face of public safety proclaim victory without the need for anything but their own votes.
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